Q2_Week_20_2022: Market Outlook

Published ON 19 May, 2022


The dollar has started to pull back now after a massive run-up. We have been waiting for this for the last 2 weeks, as this may give us some setups to short the dollar. USDJPY is a setup which the advanced group were watching and managed to short, currently up 180 pips.  

We are anticipating further downside on the dollar. It makes sense when looking at the US10Y bonds, which could start to form a head and shoulders on the daily timeframe. This can be used to gauge the general strength of the dollar, and if this reverses then the USDOLLAR is most likely to as well. 

The BoE CPI data came out yesterday and inflation has jumped up to 9%. As mentioned in the previous blog posts, this is likely to continue, and the central banks will continue to increase their rates. 

Upcoming fundamental releases we have are: 


  • USD, Initial Jobless Claims(May 13) 
  • EUR, ECB’s De Guindos speech 


  • JPY, National Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Apr) 
  • CNY, PBoC Interest Rate Decision 
  • GBP, Retail Sales (MoM)(Apr) 


  • NZD, Retail Sales (QoQ)(Q1) 


USDollar Monthly

US10Y – Daily

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Written by Aqil – Head Analyst

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